I am not against adjusting the rate to account for expected risks with respect to particular investment. There are some rules of thumb that have been given in that regard:
- venture capital investors generally expect an annual after-tax rate of return around 40%
- angel investors will generally expect at least 50%
There have been other arbitrary rates that have been employed in the past. One company I worked at in the past (which was a part of the Ford Motor Company) expected a minimum return of 15% for any capital investment proposal. As this was back when corporate tax rates were approaching 50%, that meant that before-tax returns were around 30%, which was extremely conservative even in those days when the prime rate was around 11%.
Most good financial management texts have good discussions on the subject of determining a firm's cost of capital, and they all generally agree on the following key points:
- the emphasis must be on calculating the ideal mix of debt, equity and other financing for the firm
- the rate will be a weighted average of the returns arising from the different financing components
- where the firm is privately owned, proxy rates may be employed using data from the industry and the geographic area concerned
- adjustments for risk may be made for different types of investments, but that is a step subsequent to the initial calculation, and they should reflect the risks faced by the firm in question, as opposed to a blanket adjustment
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